Forex News: Slight Rise in Volatility in the 3rd Week of February 2024

In Forex trading, your success is highly affected by the choices made regarding which assets to trade and in which direction rather than the specific methods employed to determine trade entries and exits. Therefore, as we commence a new trading week, it becomes imperative to take a step back and assess the bigger picture, considering the forex news shaped by macro fundamentals, technical factors, and market sentiment.

According to Daily Forex, here are a few insights and potential trends to keep an eye on in the forex market. 

Marginal Rise in Directional Volatility

Last week witnessed a slight increase in directional volatility within the Forex market, with approximately 7% of notable currency pairs and crosses experiencing fluctuations exceeding 1%. This increment comes against the backdrop of a broader trend of subdued volatility that has persisted since the commencement of 2024.

Insights from US FOMC Meeting Minutes

Last week’s economic calendar was notably light, with key events centered around the release of US FOMC Meeting Minutes, Canadian CPI (inflation) data, and the Minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s latest meeting.

The FOMC Meeting Minutes revealed a cautious stance among Federal Reserve members, indicating a reluctance to raise interest rates until further progress is made towards achieving the 2% inflation target.

Impact of Canadian CPI Data on Monetary Policy

Canadian CPI data showed a more rapid decline in inflation than anticipated, with the annualized rate dropping from 3.4% to 2.9%. This unexpected development may push the Bank of Canada towards a more dovish policy stance, potentially impacting the Canadian Dollar.

Reviewing RBA Meeting Minutes for Australian Dollar Trends

The Reserve Bank of Australia’s Minutes contained no surprises, leading to minimal market reaction in the Australian Dollar.

US Inflation Signals: Core PCE Price Index Analysis

Indications of persistent inflation in the US were reinforced by the core personal consumption expenditures price index, which saw a 0.1% increase over the previous month.

Last Week’s Data Releases

  • Australian Wage Price Index: Matched expectations last week. This stability suggests that wage pressures in the Australian labor market remained in line with forecasts, reflecting a steady pace of wage growth.
  • US Unemployment Claims: Came in slightly better than expected, indicating a modest improvement in the labor market conditions. This data point suggests that fewer individuals filed for unemployment benefits than anticipated, hinting at a possible strengthening of the job market.
  • Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI: Revealed a mixed picture, with services data surpassing expectations while manufacturing data fell short. This divergence implies that the services sector may be exhibiting resilience compared to the manufacturing sector, which faces more challenges.


The news presented on Prime Codex is solely those of the analysts quoted. They do not represent the opinions of Prime Codex on whether to buy, sell, or hold specific pairs. Traders are advised to conduct their independent research before making an investment decision.

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